Meet the Illinois Fighting Illini - The Most Overrated Team in the AP's Top 25 Poll

Copyright © 2008 Ed Bagleyratings are the gold standard.
Coach Ron Zook's Illinois team took the Big Ten byPart of Illinois' No. 66 rating at the moment is because
storm last year, tying with Michigan for the runner-upthe Fighting Illini have played a weak schedule of
spot at 6-2, and going 9-3 in the regular season. Theopponents, the 106th weakest schedule rank in the
Fighting Illini from Champaign got ahead by sneaking upcountry to be exact. Sure, the Illini opened with Missouri
on some opponents.(not exactly a walk in the park) but they also have
Then they arrived at the Rose Bowl to face Southernsquared off against Eastern Illinois (rated 157th) and
California and took about 49 shots to the head with aLouisiana-Lafayette (rated 128th), not exactly college
ball-peen hammer as the Trojans won going away,football powerhouses.
49-17. Last year Illinois finished at No. 20 in the final APHere is also a news flash for the Fighting Illini, who
Poll. All of last year's fight and hype moved Illinois intogave up an average of 30 points to their first 3
this year's AP Top 25 Poll.opponents: You cannot give up 30 points a game and
The Illini, currently ranked No. 22, have no businesswin a lot of games against good teams. Last year
being in AP's Top 25, and will probably figure that outIllinois gave up 21 points per game and still won 9
after visiting No. 16 Penn State at Happy Valley nextgames. This year the Illini defense gave up 52 points in
weekend (9-27-08). They have a bye this weekendlosing to Missouri in their opener. Missouri is currently
and will need all of the extra time to get ready to faceranked No. 5 in the AP Poll.
Jo Pa's (Joe Paterno's) Nittany Lions.The road ahead for Ron Zook's Illini is interesting as
Teams that did well last year generally get a freethey must face Penn State (currently 3-0), Michigan
pass into the AP Top 25 the following year. Whether(1-2), Minnesota (3-0), Indiana (2-0), Wisconsin (3-0),
they maintain the ranking is another question. In Illinois'Iowa (3-0), Ohio State (2-1) and Northwestern (3-0).
case, while they are currently No. 22 in the AP Poll, theThe combined record of these opponents is 20-3 at
Sagarin football ratings puts them at No. 66, wherethe moment.
they belong.Zook just might get snookered before he sneaks up
The AP Top 25 Poll is determined each week by 64on anyone this year.
influential sportswriters around the country. It can beIf you are wondering, the next 5 most overrated
argued that it is a popularity poll. Jeff Sagarin's NCAAteams currently in the AP Poll are Fresno State, South
Football Ratings uses a scientific, statistical analysis toFlorida, Clemson, Kansas and Missouri (yes, Missouri).
determine the pecking order for the 245 teams inThe two most underrated teams are Penn State and
Division I-A (119 teams) and I-AA (the rest). Sagarin'sBrigham Young (BYU).