2006 Stanley Cup Final Preview

Though the weather outside doesn't make you thinkpassed all tests up to this point. An interesting note -
about hockey, the Stanley Cup finals start tonight. Theboth Pronger and Staal were chosen by the Carolina
match-up must be a complete nightmare for GaryHartford franchise second overall in the draft - Staal in
Bettman, the NHL's commissioner. Edmonton hasn't2003 and Pronger 10 years earlier.
been a marquee team since Wayne Gretzky got4) Veteran presence - Both teams added veterans
traded to Los Angeles, and people don't exactly thinkthis year to stabilize the team and add the calming
of hockey when they hear North Carolina. The TVpresence that they needed to get where they are.
ratings will be dismal, though that's nothing new for theThe new players complemented long time team
league. It will, however, be a good series. Both teamsmembers in both cases. In Edmonton, Michael Peca
have absolutely insane fans that will be out of theirand Pronger joined team captain Jason Smith and
minds, and they both play an exciting brand of hockey.gritty fan favorite Ryan Smyth. Carolina added former
I have lived in Calgary for most of my life, so writingOiler Doug Weight and Mark Recchi to help Rob
about Edmonton is like a New Yorker praising the RedBrind'amour, who is having a great postseason, keep
Sox, or a Michigan fan talking nice about the Buckeyes.the dressing room in line. Neither side will have an
An Edmonton win will kill me (My Canada does notadvantage, then, when it comes to staying positive if
include Edmonton), but at least, according to thethings start to go badly.
oddsmakers, they will have to come from behind to do5) Goaltending - The goaltending situation couldn't be
it. The Hurricanes are lukewarm -140 favorites to winmore different for the two teams. The Oilers picked
the series, but you can make a solid case for a win byup Dwayne Roloson from Minnesota at the trading
either team. The series is eerily reminiscent of the lastdeadline. He was awful during the rest of the season,
final - a feisty and overachieving team from Albertabut has been incredible in the playoffs. He's 36, so he
riding a hot goaltender into a match-up against a solidwas shaving by the time that Carolina's 22-year-old
and offensively gifted southern-based team. Last timeCam Ward was born. Martin Gerber was the starter
my Flames gave it a valiant effort, but were ultimatelycoming into the playoffs, but Ward got his shot and
outmatched. It remains to be seen if history repeatshas made the most of it. He was the goalie of the
itself.future for Carolina, and the future is apparently here.
Here are eight factors to considering when makingNeither team has a real edge, unless the starters
your plays on this series:struggle or get hurt. Gerber can easily step in for Ward
1) Rested or rusty? - Edmonton beat Anaheim in fiveand the team won't suffer much if at all, while
games, giving them nine days off before the finalsEdmonton's back-up situation is a disaster.
started. That time let them heal up injuries and get6) Special teams - There's a battle of the titans setting
over the flu, which had badly impacted the team in theup when Edmonton gets a penalty, which they are far
last series. It also let them get caught up in themore likely to do than Carolina. The Hurricanes have
mayhem that is sweeping Edmonton and the mediathe best power play in the playoffs, while Edmonton
attention in Canada (and elsewhere to a lesser extent).has outpaced every other team when it comes to
We will know quickly which factor will impact the teampenalty killing. Obviously, both squads won't be able to
more. They have ridden a wave of momentum thishave their way. Whichever side comes out and sets
far, but can that momentum survive a break this long?the tone early will make an impact on the series.
New Jersey swept the Rangers in the first round, tookEdmonton can avoid the situation by showing more
a week off, then lost to Carolina in five. They lookeddiscipline than they have so far, but that is unlikely given
like a different team entirely. Anaheim crushedtheir aggressive style of play.
Colorado in four straight, but then the Ducks fell with7) Home ice advantage - Both arenas are as loud as
barely a quack against Edmonton. They had eightany in the league, so the home team should have an
days off. The precedent isn't good.edge. Carolina has taken advantage of home cooking,
2) Best defenseman - Chris Pronger is, unquestionably,going 6-1 since dropping their first two games at home
the best defenseman on the ice in this series. Thoughversus Montreal. To make things interesting, Edmonton
he had an inconsistent first season in Edmonton, and ahas been strong on the road. They've gone 6-3,
terrible showing for Canada at the Olympics, Prongerincluding three wins in Anaheim. The ice in Carolina will
is playing like the beast he is in the playoffs. He hasbe awful - soft and unpredictable - so Carolina could
immobilized the opposing offensive threats in all threehave an advantage there, like Tampa Bay did in 2004.
series so far - Pavel Datsyuk, Joe Thornton andCarolina has the home-ice advantage to start the
Teemu Selanne. He's been averaging an incredible 31series, if they can capitalize on that, they should be
minutes per game, and is the clear favorite for theable to come out ahead.
Conn Smythe for playoff MVP if Edmonton wins. He's8) Underlooked players - Both teams have players
impressive in his own zone, but he forecheckswho aren't getting the ink to match their play. Cory
incredibly well, too, and he has 17 points in 17 games.Stillman has 19 points in 18 games for Carolina. His
Carolina will have to find a way to contain Pronger, orpresence has meant that teams can't focus on Staal.
avoid him, if they want to win.His experience and presence are as valuable as his
3) Best forward - Not only is Eric Staal the bestoffense, too. Stillman is defending his Cup win with
forward in this series, he is the leading playoff scorerTampa Bay in 2004. For Edmonton, the pleasant
and is fast becoming one of the handful of top playerssurprise has been Shawn Horcoff, their No. 1 center
in the league. He's an offensive machine, and hewho has 17 points in 17 games. He's continuing to play
creates a tough match-up for any team. Pronger willthe game he discovered this season. Both players will
be all over him like a glove, and Staal hasn't faced abe key to their team's success, and whichever plays
defenseman of his caliber yet this postseason, so it willbetter could make the difference in the series.
be telling, and key to Carolina's fate, how he respondsThe views expressed in this article are not necessarily
to that. He's only 21, so his response to that attentionthose of Doc's NHL picks service.
and the pressure of the series will be key, but he's